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Rebound in China, US Economic Growth

July 15, 2020 1 min
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China Q2 GDP +3.2% (vs -6.8% prior quarter, exceeded IMF 2.6% projection). US retail sales +7.5% MoM after +18.2% rebound in May. US sales +5% YoY vs June 2019. Jobless claims fell to 1.4M.

Economic recovery indicators from two major economies.

China's Performance:

China demonstrated strong GDP expansion of 3.2% in the second quarter, rebounding significantly from the previous quarter's contraction of 6.8%. This result exceeded expectations, as the IMF had projected only 2.6% growth just one month prior.

United States Indicators:

Retail sales in America showed a 7.5% improvement from last month, after a (revised) 18.2% rebound in May. Year-over-year comparisons demonstrated gains, with sales up 5% relative to June 2019. Additionally, jobless claims declined in recent weekly reporting, falling to 1.4 million.

Key Insight:

The piece illustrates synchronized economic recovery across two of the world's largest economies during the post-pandemic recovery period, with both nations demonstrating stronger-than-anticipated growth metrics and improving labor market conditions.

Key Insights

  • China Q2 GDP +3.2% (exceeded IMF projection)
  • Rebound from -6.8% prior quarter
  • US retail sales +7.5% MoM
  • US jobless claims fell to 1.4M
ChinaUnited StatesEconomic recoveryGDPRetail salesArlie Sterling
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