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LNG Rates Back in Accord with Marsoft Analysis

December 16, 2020 1 min
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LNG spot rates surpassing $130k/day, some reports at $150k/day for January cargoes. Driven by robust gas demand, elevated Asian gas prices, Pacific export outages, increased US export ton-miles. Aligns with Marsoft forecasts.

Recent developments in liquefied natural gas (LNG) spot rates, which have increased significantly in line with Marsoft's analytical forecasts.

Current Market Rates:

Modern MEGI vessels achieved spot rates surpassing $130,000 per day, with some reports indicating rates as high as $150,000/day for January cargoes. These represent substantial increases from previous periods.

Primary Market Drivers:

The rate increases reflect robust demand for natural gas and elevated gas prices across Asian markets. Additional factors contributing to higher rates include:

  • Outages affecting Pacific export facilities
  • Greater ton-mile requirements as U.S. export volumes replace unavailable Pacific supplies

Analytical Context:

The sharp uptick in rates aligns with Marsoft's previously published base and high-case forecast scenarios, suggesting their analytical models accurately anticipated market movements during this period.

Key Insights

  • MEGI spot rates over $130k/day
  • Some reports at $150k/day for January
  • Robust gas demand and Asian prices
  • Aligns with Marsoft forecasts
LNGSpot ratesMEGIAsiaGas pricesMegan Kennedy
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